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Rental markets show signs of slowing down, Zillow says

Zillow says that rents across the country rose 0.7 percent from last March, the slowest rate of appreciation since November 2012. The main factor behind this slowdown was new construction of rental homes that are reducing demand and softening the market. The median rent payment in the U.S. is now $1,408, according to the March Zillow Real Estate Market Reports.

There was good news for those in the San Francisco Bay Area, where rents have slowed more than any other large metropolitan area over the past year. In San Francisco, rents are down 0.1 percent after appreciating almost 10 percent annually at this time last year. Rents in San Jose were rising at almost 9 percent annually a year ago, but fell 1.1 percent over the past year to a median rent payment of $3,451.

Even in hot West Coast markets, where rental growth is notoriously strong, rent appreciation is starting to slow. In Seattle, rents are up 6.7 percent, but their pace of appreciation has been slowing since August 2016. Rents in Sacramento are up 4.7 percent, but were rising at almost 7 percent annually toward the end of last year.

Affordability is a significant issue for renters across the country, who have experienced rising rents for years. In many major metros, the share of income needed to pay rent well surpasses the general rule of not spending more than 30 percent of income on housing. In Los Angeles, the median rent payment takes up almost half of the median income, which forces renters to shack up with roommates in order to make housing more affordable.

"The slowdown in rental appreciating is mainly due to new construction finally meeting demand, and even outpacing demand in some areas," said Zillow's Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. "But, rents are the highest they've ever been, weighing heavily on renters' budgets and making it extremely difficult for those renters hoping to become homeowners to save enough money for a down payment. In most markets, a monthly mortgage payment is more affordable than a monthly rent payment, but the most difficult aspect of home buying for many aspiring home owners is coming up with enough money for the down payment."

The median home value across the country is $196,500, up 6.8 percent since this time last year. Seattle, Tampa, Fla. and Dallas reported the highest year-over-year home value appreciation among the 35 largest U.S. metros. In Seattle, home values rose almost 12 percent to a median value of $426,300. Home values in Tampa and Dallas are up about 11 percent since this time last year.

Low inventory continues to be a problem for home shoppers across the country -- there are 5 percent fewer homes to choose from than a year ago, paving the way for an extremely competitive home shopping season.

Minneapolis, Columbus, Ohio and Seattle reported the greatest drop in inventory among the 35 largest U.S. metros. In Minneapolis, there are 24 percent fewer homes to choose from than a year ago, and 19.5 percent fewer to choose from in Columbus. In Seattle, where home values are growing the fastest, buyers will have 17 percent fewer homes to choose from than a year ago.

Mortgage rates are down from their December highs, but still well above where they were before the election. In March, mortgage rates on Zillow ended at 3.94 percent, down from a high of 4.13 percent. The month low was 3.93 percent. Zillow's real-time mortgage rates are based on thousands of custom mortgage quotes submitted daily to anonymous borrowers on the Zillow Mortgages site and reflect the most recent changes in the market.

Mike Wheatley

Mike Wheatley is the senior editor at Realty Biz News. Got a real estate related news article you wish to share, contact Mike at mike@realtybiznews.com.

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