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Trump win causes mortgage rates to spike

By Mike Wheatley | November 17, 2016

Mortgage rates in the U.S. have soared in the week since Republican party candidate Donald Trump surprised the world with his election win, with the benchmark 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate rising to 4.01 percent, said in its weekly national survey. The 30-year fixed mortgage has an average of 0.24 discount and origination points.


Bankrate said that the larger jumbo 30-year fixed hit 4.01 percent last week, while the smaller 15-year fixed mortgage rate soared to 3.21 percent. We also saw a spike in adjustable mortgage rates – the 5-year ARM rose to 3.39 percent, while the 7-year ARM hit 3.62 percent.

"Mortgage rates spiked above the 4 percent mark for the first time since January on speculation – and that's all it is at this point – about the potential for more government borrowing, higher inflation, and faster economic growth under a Trump administration,” said's chief financial analyst, Greg McBride, CFA. “This week's increase in mortgage rates, being dubbed the 'Trump Tantrum', is the biggest one week increase since the 'Taper Tantrum' in June 2013.”

McBride told Realty Biz News that the rate increase was likely temporary, as reality almost always catches up when we see a sudden rise of this magnitude in the market. Because it’s still likely to be several months before Trump reveals any kind of economic stimulus plan, and several more months before fresh dollars enter the economy, it’s likely rates will rebound soon, he added.

“The backdrop of slow global economic growth, aging populations in developed markets, and low inflation around the world may well reassert itself, prompting a rate pullback,” McBride explained.

At the current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 4.01 percent, the monthly payment for a $200,000 loan is $955.98.

Here’s Bankrate’s latest rates:

  • 30-year fixed: 4.01% -- up from 3.73% last week (avg. points: 0.24)
  • 15-year fixed: 3.21% -- up from 2.97% last week (avg. points: 0.20)
  • 5/1 ARM: 3.39% -- up from 3.15% last week (avg. points: 0.29)

Bankrate carries out its national weekly mortgage survey each Wednesday, using data from the top ten banks and thrifts in ten top markets.

Mike Wheatley is the senior editor at Realty Biz News. Got a real estate related news article you wish to share, contact Mike at [email protected].
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